{"id":31073,"date":"2025-09-16T09:44:56","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T12:44:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/victoriaaldia.com\/?p=31073"},"modified":"2025-09-16T09:44:56","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T12:44:56","slug":"presupuesto-2026-las-claves-sobre-el-dolar-la-inflacion-y-el-deficit-cero","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victoriaaldia.com\/?p=31073","title":{"rendered":"Presupuesto 2026: las claves sobre el d\u00f3lar, la inflaci\u00f3n y el d\u00e9ficit cero"},"content":{"rendered":"

Lo present\u00f3 Milei en cadena nacional<\/span><\/h2>\n
El presidente Javier Milei ratific\u00f3 por cadena nacional el rumbo de su gesti\u00f3n y defendi\u00f3 \u201cel equilibrio fiscal como principio no negociable\u201d. El Presupuesto 2026 proyecta “baja de la inflaci\u00f3n y un d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s apreciado”.<\/header>\n
<\/header>\n
En un mensaje de 15 minutos transmitido por cadena nacional, el presidente Javier Milei present\u00f3 los lineamientos centrales del Presupuesto 2026 y ratific\u00f3 que \u201cel equilibrio fiscal es un principio no negociable desde el comienzo de nuestra gesti\u00f3n\u201d. El mandatario destac\u00f3 que ning\u00fan pa\u00eds puede funcionar correctamente sin cuentas ordenadas y asegur\u00f3 que \u201clo peor ya pas\u00f3\u201d.<\/p>\n
\"Javier
Javier Milei<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

El jefe de Estado confirm\u00f3 que el proyecto fue enviado al Congreso con la meta de sostener el d\u00e9ficit cero y avanzar en la baja de la inflaci\u00f3n, adem\u00e1s de proyectar un aumento en t\u00e9rminos reales del gasto en salud, educaci\u00f3n y jubilaciones, condicionado a la recaudaci\u00f3n y la evoluci\u00f3n de los precios.<\/p>\n

Las principales variables del Presupuesto<\/h3>\n

D\u00e9ficit cero<\/b><\/p>\n

El Gobierno proyect\u00f3 un super\u00e1vit primario del 1,5% del PBI y un excedente financiero del 0,3% para 2025 y 2026. Los c\u00e1lculos oficiales prev\u00e9n que el gasto p\u00fablico alcance el 15,3% del PBI, mientras que la recaudaci\u00f3n llegar\u00eda al 15,6%.<\/p>\n

Inflaci\u00f3n<\/b><\/p>\n

La pauta inflacionaria estima un 24,5% interanual en 2025 y un 10,1% en 2026. Para lo que resta del a\u00f1o, el Ejecutivo proyecta un incremento cercano al 1% mensual, mientras que la meta para el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o implicar\u00eda un IPC inferior al 1% mensual.<\/p>\n

D\u00f3lar<\/b><\/p>\n

El Presupuesto establece un d\u00f3lar a $1.325 hacia fin de 2025 y a $1.423 en 2026, lo que representa una apreciaci\u00f3n cambiaria respecto de la cotizaci\u00f3n actual, que cerr\u00f3 en $1.467.<\/p>\n

Crecimiento y comercio exterior<\/h3>\n

El Ejecutivo proyect\u00f3 que la econom\u00eda crecer\u00e1 5,4% en 2025, tras una ca\u00edda del 1,3% en 2024, y que se expandir\u00e1 otro 5% en 2026. El consumo privado aumentar\u00eda 4,9% el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o, mientras que la inversi\u00f3n subir\u00eda 9,4%.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

En el frente externo, las exportaciones alcanzar\u00edan US$ 112.000 millones con una suba del 9,1%, mientras que las importaciones llegar\u00edan a US$ 118.000 millones con un alza del 12%. Esto provocar\u00eda un d\u00e9ficit comercial de US$ 5.751 millones en 2026, casi el doble del proyectado para 2025.<\/p>\n

Recaudaci\u00f3n tributaria<\/h3>\n

Los ingresos impositivos se calcularon en $90,3 billones para 2026, lo que equivale a un 8,7% del PBI. El IVA crecer\u00eda 19%, Ganancias un 24,2% y los Derechos de Exportaci\u00f3n 22,8%. El Gobierno proyect\u00f3 adem\u00e1s fuertes subas en impuestos a los combustibles y el monotributo.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

En el texto enviado al Congreso, el Ejecutivo reconoci\u00f3 que la recaudaci\u00f3n se ver\u00e1 afectada por la reducci\u00f3n de aranceles a las importaciones y la finalizaci\u00f3n del Impuesto PAIS, vigente hasta 2024.\u00a0(Fuente: Clar\u00edn)<\/i><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n<\/header>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lo present\u00f3 Milei en cadena nacional El presidente Javier Milei ratific\u00f3 por cadena nacional el rumbo de su gesti\u00f3n y…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":31074,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nogoya_volanta":"","nogoya_breaking":false,"nogoya_exclusive":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,3,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31073","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacionales","category-noticias","category-politica"],"yoast_head":"\nPresupuesto 2026: las claves sobre el d\u00f3lar, la inflaci\u00f3n y el d\u00e9ficit cero - Victoria Al D\u00eda<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/victoriaaldia.com\/?p=31073\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Presupuesto 2026: las claves sobre el d\u00f3lar, la inflaci\u00f3n y el d\u00e9ficit cero - 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